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Greenfield

The Urban Development Program (UDP) monitors land as it transitions from paddocks to lots for dwellings. By tracking the changes land undergoes through the statutory process it provides robust and reliable data. This development pipeline is split into two categories, englobo greenfield lot supply and retail lot supply.

Two stages in the englobo greenfield lot supply

1. Unzoned englobo land requiring a precinct structure plan

This is englobo land that has been identified for future residential development through the growth corridor plans and other strategic planning processes. Typically, it is currently zoned urban growth zone. This category will no longer exist once all the unzoned land undergoes the precinct structure plan (PSP) process and becomes zoned (available to be subdivided).

Lot yields for unzoned englobo land is sourced in consultation with the Victorian Planning Authority (VPA). Known physical constraints are removed from supply and a dwellings per hectare rate is applied to the remaining land taking into account the provision of infrastructure and services.

2. Zoned englobo land

This is englobo land that has undergone the PSP process and is zoned and available for subdivision into residential lots (in general accordance with its structure plan). This stage provides a good estimate of the lot yield as it is based on the land budget provided as part of a PSP.

Lot yields for zoned englobo land are originally sourced from the PSP. As lots are subdivided the remaining balance of total lots is distributed across the remaining zoned englobo land. Once 65% of the estimated total lots have been subdivided the assumed yield for the remaining zoned englobo land changes to better reflect current trends and is calculated at a lot level based on planning permits, advertised estate plans and densities of recent subdivision within the PSP.

Over time development may diverge from the original structure plan. In these cases, zoned englobo land will be moved or reshaped to match estate plans and the yield recalculated.

Two stages in the retail lot supply

1. Proposed lots

These are lots that are part of a proposed subdivision plan but have not yet been titled. Some changes to these lots may occur before they receive a title. The data is sourced from Vicmap parcel where they are classified as “Proposed”. Using codes within the Vicmap data and aerial imagery, lots unlikely to be typical residential housing are removed. This includes Crown land, roads, easements, parks, and non-residential uses, such as childcare centres.

2. Lots with a title

This is land that has been subdivided and titled in the relevant/previous calendar year. It has services connected and is ready for dwellings to be built. The data is sourced from Vicmap parcel where they are classified as “Approved”. Using codes within the Vicmap data and aerial imagery, lots that are not typical residential housing are removed. This includes Crown land, roads, easements, parks, and non-residential uses, such as childcare centres.

Major redevelopment

The Urban Development Program monitors major residential redevelopment projects across metropolitan Melbourne. These are projects containing 10 or more dwellings that are within existing urban area of Melbourne that occur on sites that have often been used for commercial, industrial, or residential purposes. Data is collected through analysis of aerial imagery, planning permits, real estate websites and developer websites.

The UDP redevelopment tracks projects as they progress through the development pipeline from the supply of sites through to finished dwellings. The pipeline is broken up into three categories of supply and 5 stages of development.

For each project an estimated dwelling yield by building type (apartments, townhouses, or detached) and number of storeys is recorded. As projects progress through the pipeline, this information becomes more reliable and is revised.

Supply of redevelopment sites stages

Firm

Projects that have been approved and/or taking sales enquires and registrations. Sources include:

  • LGA planning registers
  • DTP’s Planning Permit Activity Reporting System (PPARS)
  • subdivision data from Vicmap parcel (DTP)
  • developer websites
  • real estate websites.

Likely

Projects that are within the planning process, projects with recently lapsed planning permits, projects that have been sold with a recent planning permit. Sources include:

  • LGA planning registers
  • DTP’s Planning Permit Activity Reporting System (PPARS)
  • real estate websites.

Possible

Early indicator of the location of future major redevelopment projects or projects that have been inactive for a number of years. Sources include:

  • strategic planning documents
  • news articles.

Development of redevelopment sites

Under construction

Building works have been identified. Sources include:

  • aerial photography (DTP)
  • developer websites.

Dwellings built on redevelopment sites

Completed

Completed buildings. Sources include:

  • address data from Vicmap address (DTP)
  • subdivision data from Vicmap parcel (DTP)
  • aerial photography (DTP)
  • real estate websites.

Projects within the supply section of the pipeline can move between stages (forward or backward) as new information becomes available or no information is found. Projects that are inactive will eventually be removed from the dataset.

Industrial

The Urban Development Program monitors industrial land across metropolitan Melbourne. An assessment of the development status of industrially zoned parcels is conducted each year to provide an estimate of consumption and supply.

Parcels are considered industrial if they are zoned either:

  • Industrial 1 Zone (IN1Z)
  • Industrial 2 Zone (IN2Z)
  • Industrial 3 Zone (IN3Z)
  • Commercial 2 Zone (C2Z)
  • Special Use Zone (SUZ) where the planning scheme prescribes industrial uses only
  • Comprehensive development zone (CDZ) in some specific cases.

Or if they have an applied industrial zone as part of a structure plan, which can occur in:

  • Urban growth zone (UGZ)
  • Activity centre zones (ACZ)
  • Commonwealth land (CA).

Industrial land development status

All assessments are made per parcel. However, if the occupied part of a parcel is clear and there is substantial land that could be used as future supply the parcel is split and given its relevant status. Where a parcel contains known non-developable land such as road, electricity, or drainage easements or reserves these areas are removed.

Occupied

Parcels that contain industrial or commercial buildings, container parks, informal car parking, quarries, and hardstand storage areas.

Figure 2: Parcels of non-industrial use, vacant and occupied industrial land. Image shows examples of non-industrial use that include single dwellings on large lots.
Figure 1: Parcels of vacant and occupied industrial land. Image shows a range of occupied land uses including large factories and hardstand storage yards.

Zoned vacant

Parcels that are zoned for industrial use but have no intensive use / visible capital investment.

Figure 1: Parcels of vacant and occupied industrial land. Image shows a range of occupied land uses including large factories and hardstand storage yards.
Figure 2: Parcels of non-industrial use, vacant and occupied industrial land. Image shows examples of non-industrial use that include single dwellings on large lots.

Zoned non-industrial use

Parcels that are zoned for industrial use but have an legacy use /capital investment that is not industrial. Examples include residential buildings and agricultural infrastructure. Over time these are likely to be redeveloped to industrial uses.

Figure 3: Parcels of non-industrial use and occupied industrial land. Image shows examples of non-industrial use that include more intensive farming and cropping.
Figure 3: Parcels of non-industrial use and occupied industrial land. Image shows examples of non-industrial use that include more intensive farming and cropping.

Unzoned

Parcels identified in strategic plans for future industrial purposes.

Page last updated: 10/12/25