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In Mildura there is capacity for 3,600 residential lots (18 to 20 years supply) on zoned land and an additional 7,600 residential lots (39 to 43 years supply) on land planned to be rezoned.

Over the last decade, population in Mildura has grown by 5,000 people to reach a population of 57,000. Around 300 dwellings per year have been built over the last 10 years to accommodate that population growth, with this activity primarily occurring in greenfield estates in Mildura and small greenfield developments and infill in Red Cliffs and Merbein.

Greenfield supply

At end of June 2022 there were an estimated 11,178 retail lots in unzoned and zoned englobo greenfield land. There were no major infill sites identified.

Estimated retail lot supply June 2022

Area and typeUnzonedZonedProposed Total supply
Mildura 7,600 3,154 424 11,178
Greenfield total7,6003,15442411,178
Major infill 0 0 0 0

Major infill is not included calculation of greenfield years of supply.

Retail lots released with a title

Years of supply is estimated from long- and short-term average lot greenfield release. Retail lots are considered released when a title has been registered and ready to construct a dwelling on.

Between 2018 and 2021 retail lot production has been averaging around 160 lots p.a. Since 2018 the level of retail lot production has been steady. However, in the first half of 2022, 132 lots have been released which nearly equal to the annual amount of recent years.

Greenfield retail lots 2015 to July 2022

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Size of greenfield retail lots

Changes in lot sizes can vary estimates of future supply. If recent lots are smaller than in the past, the estimated capacity of englobo land is increased.

Since 2015 the majority of lots have been between 500 and 800 m2, in 2021 and the first half of 2022 70% of lots were in this range.

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Size of englobo lots

The size of englobo lots can also vary the rate at which greenfield land is developed. Large englobo lots, such as those over 10 hectares, can be easier to transform into larger developments. Smaller lots can provide opportunities for small to medium sized developments.

In Mildura 2 zoned englobo lots have an area of 10 hectares or more which is estimated to produce 450 retail lots.

Estimated retail lot yield by englobo lot size

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Some englobo parcels known to be within the same development have been combined.

Page last updated: 11/06/23