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Victoria in Future

Victoria in Future 2023 (VIF2023) data is the official state government projection of the likely future growth of population and households. The data provides projections for total population, components of population change, population by age and sex, households, and household types and, dwellings by occupancy across Victoria.

Projections are used by decision makers in government, business, and the community to understand the impact of a growing and changing population.

VIF2023 makes projections from 2023 to 2051 for Victoria and the major regions. For Local Government Areas (LGA) it covers the period to 2036.

VIF2023 shows Victoria’s population increasing by 630,000 people over the next 5 years. Victoria remains the fastest growing state in the country. By the 2050s, Melbourne will be home to more than 8 million people and regional Victoria will be home to more than 2.3 million.

Victoria’s Housing Statement

Victoria’s Housing Statement - The decade ahead: 2024-2034, sets an ambitious target to build 800,000 homes in Victoria over the next decade. The majority of these are to be constructed in Melbourne in areas close to services and transport.

Plan Melbourne 70:30 aspiration

The Victorian Government’s metropolitan planning strategy Plan Melbourne 2017-2050 sets the strategy for supporting jobs and growth.

An adequate supply of housing in the right locations is critical to metropolitan Melbourne’s liveability and economic success. Policy 2.1.2 of  Plan Melbourne sets an aspirational scenario where 70% of net additional dwellings are located within established Melbourne and 30% in the growth areas.

The 70:30 aspiration follows a long-standing strategic planning goal to reduce the proportion of new housing development in greenfield and to direct that growth to established areas which are closer to jobs and better served with infrastructure.

The significant amount of housing development in growth areas over the last few years – and the decline in housing development in established areas – has meant that only 53% of net housing additions in the period from 2017 to 2022 were in established areas.

A new plan for Victoria will bring to life the government’s target for 70 per cent of new homes to be built in established areas, while making sure growth areas deliver 30 per cent of new homes. This will include establishing local government targets for where those new homes will be built.

The Melbourne Industrial and Commercial Land Use Plan

The Melbourne Industrial and Commercial Land Use Plan builds on policies, strategies and actions in Plan Melbourne and its associated 5 year implementation plan. It provides an overview of current and future needs for industrial and commercial land across metropolitan Melbourne and puts in place a planning framework to support state and local government to plan more effectively for future employment and industry needs.

To support industrial land use planning, a classification system has been put in place to assist how specific types of areas are planned. Zoned and proposed future industrial land across metropolitan Melbourne has been categorised as being a state, regional or local significance precinct. These precincts identify land that should be retained primarily for industrial, considered for other business or employment focussed purposes, and land that could be considered for alternative uses.

Page last updated: 21/12/23