Mildura

The Urban Development Program identifies greenfield land as land zoned for an urban residential use, such as land zoned General Residential Zone.

In Mildura there is capacity for 3,600 residential lots (18 to 20 years supply) on zoned land and an additional 7,600 residential lots (39 to 43 years supply) on land planned to be rezoned.

These estimates of the number of years of supply are based on the average rate of lots released over a longer-term time period (between January 2018 and June 2022) and a shorter-term time period (between January 2020 and June 2022).

Recent population trends

Over the last decade, population in Mildura has grown by 5,000 people to reach a population of 57,000. Around 300 dwellings per year have been built over the last 10 years to accommodate that population growth, with this activity primarily occurring in greenfield estates in Mildura and small greenfield developments and infill in Red Cliffs and Merbein.

Greenfield Supply

Greenfield land is made up larger lots commonly referred to as englobo land supply. It is classified as either:

  • unzoned future residential land; or;
  • zoned future residential land.

At end of June 2022 there were an estimated 11,178 retail lots in unzoned and zoned englobo greenfield land. There were no major infill sites identified.

Estimated retail lot supply, June 2022

Town/Area

Development Type

Unzoned

Zoned

Proposed

Total Supply

Mildura

Greenfield

7,600

3,154

424

11,178

Greenfield Total

7,600

3,154

424

11,178

Mildura

Major infill

0

0

0

0

Total

7,600

3,154

424

11,178

Retail lots released with a title

Estimates of the number of years of supply are based on the average rate of retail lots released over a longer-term time period (between January 2018 and June 2022) and a shorter-term time period (between January 2020 and June 2022). Retail lots are considered released when a title has been registered and ready to construct a dwelling on.

Between 2018 and 2021 retail lot production has been averaging around 160 lots p.a. Since 2018 the level of retail lot production has been steady. However, in the first half of 2022, 132 lots have been released which nearly equal to the annual amount of recent years.

Greenfield retail lots with a title, 2015 to July 2022

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Size of greenfield retail lots

The years of supply of greenfield land partly depends on the size of lots being produced. If new lots are smaller on average than in the past the supply of englobo land is extended.

Since 2015 the majority of lots have been between 500 and 800 m2, in 2021 and the first half of 2022 70% of lots were in this range.

Size of greenfield retail lots with a title, 2015 to July 2022

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Fragmented land

The rate at which greenfield land can be developed into houses can also partly depend on the characteristics of englobo lots. Large englobo lots, such as those over 10 hectares, can be easier to assemble and service. Smaller lots can provide opportunities for small to medium sized developments.

In Mildura 2 zoned englobo lots have an area of 10 hectares or more which is estimated to produce 450 retail lots.

Estimated retail lot yield by englobo lot size

Download data for all graphs (Excel, 83.6 KB)

Page last updated: 24/10/22